Dan Gardner
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Draws on landmark research to debunk the methods of the expert prediction industry, exploring the psychology behind the human drive to foretell history in spite of typically inaccurate forecasts. ...
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In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later it plunged to $30. This title examines this phenomenon, showing why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it's...
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Shows how our flawed strategies for perceiving risk influence our lives, often with unforeseen and sometimes - tragic consequences. This book uncovers one of the central puzzles of our time: why are the safest people in history living in a culture of fear? ...
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